Publications

Recently submitted manuscripts and manuscripts in preparation

Dalege, J., Galesic, M., Olsson, H., (2023). Networks of beliefs: An integrative theory of individual- and social-level belief dynamics. Manuscript submitted for publication. osf

Olsson, H., Galesic, M., Bruine De Bruin, W., & Prelec, D. (2023). Combining survey questions with a Bayesian bootstrap method improves election forecasts. Manuscript submitted for publication. pdf osf

Olsson, H. (2022). The strategy aggregation effect in judgment. Manuscript submitted for publication. pdf PsyArXiv

Olsson, H. (2021). Performance of small group majorities in a single task. Manuscript submitted for publication. pdf PsyArXiv 

Journals

Olsson, H., & Galesic, M. (2024). Sampling complex social and behavioral phenomena. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 47, e55. doi:10.1017/S0140525X23002327

Olsson, H., Barman-Adhikari, A., Galesic, M., Hsu, H-T., & Rice, E. (2023). Cognitive strategies for peer judgments. Decision, 10, 268–287. doi: 10.1037/dec0000208 pdf osf

Garcia, D., Galesic, M., & Olsson, H. (2023). The psychology of collectives. Perspectives on Psychological Science. doi: 10.1177/17456916231201139

Galesic, M., Barkoczi, D., Berdahl, A., Biro, D., Carbone, G., Giannoccaro, I., Goldstone, R., Gonzalez, C., Kandler, A., Kao, A., Kendal, R., Kline, M., Lee, R., Massari, G. F., Mesoudi, A., Olsson, H., Pescetelli, N., Sloman, S., Smaldino, P. E., & Stein, D. L. (2023). Beyond collective intelligence: Collective adaptation. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 20, 20220736. Link  

Galesic, M., Bruine de Bruin, W., Dalege, J., Feld, S. L.,  Kreuter, F., Olsson, H., Prelec, D., Stein, D. L., & van der Does, T. (2021). Human social sensing is an untapped resource for computational social science. Nature, 595, 214–222. View only link

Galesic, M., Olsson, H., Dalege, J., van der Does, T., & Stein, D. L. (2021). Integrating social and cognitive aspects of belief dynamics: Towards a unifying framework. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 18, rsif.2020.0857.  pdf

Yang, V. C., van der Does, T., & Olsson, H. (2021). Falling through the cracks: Modeling the formation of social category boundaries. PLOS ONE, 16, e0247562pdf

Stojic, H., Olsson, H., & Analytis, P. P. (2020). Linear integration and lexicographic models of choice: A cue weight learning perspective. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 46, 1836–1856 .  pdf

Kause, A., de Bruin, W. B., Millward-Hopkins, J., & Olsson, H. (2019). Public perceptions of how to reduce carbon footprints of consumer food choices. Environmental Research Letters, 14, 114005.  pdf

Galesic, M., Olsson, H., & Rieskamp, J. (2018). A sampling model of social judgment. Psychological Review, 125, 363–390. pdf

Ruggeri, A., Olsson, H., & Katsikopoulos (2015). Opening the cuebox: The information children and young adults generate and rely on when making inferences from memory. British Journal of Developmental Psychology, 33, 355–374. pdf

Massaro, E., Bagnoli, F., Guazzini, A., & Olsson, H. (2014). A cognitive-inspired algorithm for growing networks. Natural Computing, 13, 379–390. pdf

Olsson, H. (2014). Measuring overconfidence: Methodological problems and statistical artifacts. Journal of Business Research, 67, 1766–1770. pdf

Morais, A. S., Olsson, H., & Schooler, L. J. (2013). Mapping the structure of semantic memory. Cognitive Science, 37, 125–145. pdf

Galesic, M., Olsson, H., & Rieskamp, J. (2012). Social sampling explains apparent biases in judgments of social environments. Psychological Science, 23, 1515–1523. pdf

Pachur, T., & Olsson, H. (2012). Type of learning task impacts performance and strategy selection in decision making. Cognitive Psychology, 65, 207–240. pdf

Morais, A. S., Olsson, H., & Schooler, L. J. (2010). Ways of probing situated concepts. Behavior Research Methods, 42, 302–310. pdf

von Helversen, B., Mata, R., & Olsson, H. (2010). Do children profit from looking beyond looks? From similarity-based to cue-abstraction processes in multiple-cue judgment. Developmental Psychology, 46, 220–229. pdf

Poom, L., & Olsson, H. (2009). Binding feature dimensions in visual short-term memory. Acta Psychologica, 131, 85–91. pdf

Brighton, H., & Olsson, H. (2009). Identifying the optimal response is not a necessary step toward explaining function. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 32, 85–86. pdf

Marewski, J. N., & Olsson, H. (2009). Beyond the null ritual: Formal modeling of psychological processes. Zeitschrift für Psychologie/Journal of Psychology, 217, 49–60. pdf

Dhami, M. K., & Olsson, H. (2008). Evolution of the interpersonal conflict paradigm. Judgment and Decision Making, 3, 547–569. pdf

Olsson, H., Juslin, P., & Winman, A. (2008). The role of random error in confidence judgment: Reply to Merkle, Sieck, and Van Zandt (2008). Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 21, 449–452. pdf

Nilsson, H., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2008). Exemplars in the mist: The cognitive substrate of the representativeness heuristic. Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, 49, 201–212. pdf

Karlsson, L., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2008). Exemplar-based inference in multi-attribute decision making: Contingent, not automatic, strategy shifts? Judgment and Decision Making, 3, 244–260. pdf

Juslin, P., Karlsson, L., & Olsson, H. (2008). Information integration in multiple cue judgment: A division of labor hypothesis. Cognition, 106, 259–298. pdf

Karlsson, L., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2007). Adaptive changes between cue abstraction and exemplar memory in a multiple cue judgment task with continuous cues. Psychonomic Bulletin and Review, 14, 1140–1146. pdf

Elwin, E., Juslin, P., Olsson, H., & Enkvist, T. (2007). Constructivist coding: Learning from selective feedback. Psychological Science, 18, 105–110. pdf

Poom, L., Olsson, H, & Börjesson, E. (2007). Dissociations between slant-contrast and reversed slant-contrast. Vision Research, 47, 746–754. pdf

Enkvist, T., Newell, B. R., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2006). On the role of causal intervention in multiple cue judgment: Positive and negative effects on learning. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 32, 163–179. pdf

Olsson, A-C., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2006). Individuals and dyads in a multiple-cue judgment task: Cognitive processes and performance. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 42, 40–56. pdf

Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2005a). Capacity limitations and the detection of correlations: A comment on Kareev (2000). Psychological Review, 112, 256–267. pdf

Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2005b). Postscript. Psychological Review, 112, 267. pdf

Jönsson, F. U., Olsson, H., & Olsson, M. J. (2005). Odor emotionality affects the confidence in odor naming. Chemical Senses, 30, 29–35. pdf

Nilsson, H., Olsson, H., & Juslin, P. (2005). The cognitive substrate of subjective probability. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 31, 600–620. pdf

Olsson, H., & Poom, L. (2005a). Visual memory needs categories. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 102, 8776–8780. pdf

Olsson, H., & Poom, L. (2005b). The noisy cue abstraction model is equivalent to the multiplicative prototype model. Perceptual and Motor Skills, 100, 819–820. pdf

Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2004). Note on the rationality of rule-based versus exemplar based processing in human judgment. Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, 45, 37–47. pdf

Olsson, H., Wennerholm, P., & Lyxzén, U. (2004). Exemplars, prototypes, and the flexibility of classification models. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 30, 936–941. pdf

Juslin, P., Jones, S., Olsson, H., & Winman, A. (2003). Cue abstraction and exemplar memory: Evidence for multiple representation levels. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 29, 924–941. pdf

Juslin, P., Olsson, H., & Olsson, A-C. (2003). Exemplar effects in categorization and multiple-cue judgment. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 132, 133–156. pdf

Juslin, P., Winman, A., & Olsson, H. (2003). Calibration, additivity, and source independence of probability judgments in general knowledge and sensory discrimination tasks. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 92, 34–51. pdf

Olsson, H. (2002). Do we need the concept of motor intelligence? Advances in Physiotherapy, 4, 108–110. pdf

Poom, L., & Olsson, H. (2002). Are mechanisms for perception of biological motion different from mechanisms for perception of nonbiological motion? Perceptual and Motor Skills, 95, 1301–1310. pdf

Juslin, P., Winman, A., & Olsson, H. (2000). Naive empiricism and dogmatism in confidence research: A critical examination of the hard-easy effect. Psychological Review, 107, 384–396. pdf

Olsson, H., & Juslin, P. (2000). The sensory sampling model: Empirical findings and theoretical contributions. Food Quality and Preference, 11, 27–34. pdf

Runeson, S., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2000). Visual perception of dynamic properties: Cue heuristics versus direct-perceptual competence. Psychological Review, 107, 525–555. pdf

Juslin, P., Wennerholm, P., & Olsson, H. (1999). Format dependence in subjective probability calibration. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 25, 1038–1052. pdf

Olsson, H. (1999). Is there a Scandinavian psychology? A bibliometric note on the publication profiles of Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden. Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, 40, 235–239. pdf

Olsson, H., Björkman, C., Haag, K., & Juslin, P. (1998). Auditory inspection time: On the importance of selecting the appropriate sensory continuum. Personality and Individual Differences, 25, 627–634. pdf

Juslin, P., Olsson, H., & Winman, A. (1998). The calibration issue: Theoretical comments on Suantak, Bolger, and Ferrell (1996). Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 73, 3–26. pdf

Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (1997). Thurstonian and Brunswikian origins of uncertainty in judgment: A sampling model of confidence in sensory discrimination. Psychological Review, 104, 344–366. pdf

Juslin, P., Olsson, H., & Björkman, M. (1997). Brunswikian and Thurstonian origins of bias in probability assessment: On the origin and nature of stochastic components of judgment. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 10, 189–209. pdf

Olsson, H., & Winman, A. (1996). Underconfidence in sensory discrimination: The interaction between experimental setting and response strategies. Perception and Psychophysics, 58, 374–382. pdf

Peer reviewed conference proceedings

Stojic, H., Olsson, H., & Analytis, P. P. (2016). Explaining inter-individual variability in strategy selection: A cue weight learning approach. In D. Reitter & F. E. Ritter (Eds.), Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Cognitive Modeling (ICCM 2016) (pp. 144–150). University Park, PA: Penn State. pdf

Olsson, H., & Loveday, J. (2015). A comparison of small crowd selection methods. In D. C. Noelle, R. Dale, A. S. Warlaumont, J. Yoshimi, T. Matlock, C. D. Jennings, &, P. P. Maglio (Eds.), Proceedings of the Thirty-Seventh Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 1769–1774). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society. pdf

Morais, A. S., Schooler, L. J., Olsson, H., & Meder, M. (2014). From causal models to sound heuristic inference. In P. Bello, M. Guarini, M. McShane, & B. Scassellati (Eds.), Proceedings of the Thirty-Sixth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 1036–1041). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society. pdf

Massaro, E., Guazzini, A., & Bagnoli, F., Olsson, H. (2013). Impact of local information in growing networks. In A. Graudenzi, G. Caravagna, G. Mauri, M. Antoniotti (Eds.), Proceedings of the Italian Workshop on Artificial Life and Evolutionary Computation (pp. 53–60). pdf

Galesic, M, Olsson, H., & Rieskamp, J (2013). False consensus about false consensus. In M. Knauff, M. Pauen, N. Sebanz, & I. Wachsmuth (Eds.), Proceedings of the Thirty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 472–476). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society. pdf

Morais, A. S., Olsson, H., & Schooler, L. J. (2011). Does the structure of causal models predict information search? In B. Kokinov, A. Karmiloff-Smith, & N. J. Nersessian (Eds.) European Perspectives on Cognitive Science: Proceedings of the European Conference on Cognitive Science. Sofia, Bulgaria: New Bulgarian University Press. pdf

Nilsson, H., & Olsson, H. (2005). Categorization vs. inference: Shift in attention or representation? In B. G. Bara, L. Barsalou, & M. Bucciarelli (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Seventh Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 1642–1647). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Enkvist, T., Juslin, P., Olsson, H., & Newell, B. R. (2005). Intervention in multiple-cue judgment: Not always for the better. In B. G. Bara, L. Barsalou, & M. Bucciarelli (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Seventh Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 636–641). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Karlsson, L., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2004). Representational shifts in a multiple-cue judgment task with continuous cues. In K. D. Forbus, D. Gentner, & T. Regier (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Sixth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 648-653). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Karlsson, L., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2003). The additive judge: On the abstraction of explicit knowledge of cue-criterion relations. In R. Alterman & D. Kirsh (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 634-639). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Nilsson, H., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2003). From prototypes to exemplars: Representational shifts in a probability judgment task. In R. Alterman & D. Kirsh (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 868-873). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Olsson, A-C., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2003). Multiple-cue judgment in individual and dyadic learning. In R. Alterman & D. Kirsh (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 880-885). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Juslin, P., Olsson, H., Olsson, A-C. (2002). Cue abstraction and exemplars in multiple-cue judgment. In C. Schunn & W. Gray (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Fourth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 518-523). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Olsson, H., & Juslin, P. (2002). Experience and pseudo-experience: Exemplar effects without feedback. In C. Schunn & W. Gray (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Fourth Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 714-719). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Juslin, P., Nilsson, H., & Olsson, H. (2001). Where do probability judgments come from? Evidence for similarity–graded probability. In J. D. Moore & K. Stenning (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Third Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society. (pp. 471-476). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Jones, S., Juslin, P., Olsson, H., & Winman, A. (2000). Algorithm, heuristic or exemplar: Processes and representation in multiple-cue judgment. In L. Gleitman & A. K. Joshi (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Second Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 244-249). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Olsson, H., & Juslin, P. (1999). When learning is detrimental: SESAM and outcome feedback. In M. Hahn & S. C. Stoness (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-First Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 496-501). Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum. pdf

Book chapters and other publications

Olsson, H., Galesic, M., & Bruine de Bruin, W. (2023). Social sampling for judgments and predictions of societal trends. In K. Fiedler, P. Juslin, & J. Denrell (Eds.),  Sampling in judgment and decision making (pp. 385-416) . Cambridge University Press.  pdf

Galesic, M., & Olsson, H. (2021). Opportunities for science communicators. In D. C. Krakauer & G. West (Eds.), The Complex Alternative: Complexity Scientists on the COVID-19 Pandemic (pp.  179-186). Santa Fe, NM: SFI Press. Link

Olsson, H., & Galesic, M. (2015). Heuristics for decision and choice. In J. D. Wright (Ed.), International Encyclopedia of Social and Behavioral Sciences (2nd ed.). Oxford, UK: Elsevier. pdf

Olsson, H. (2013). Heuristics and biases. In D. S. Dunn (Ed.), Oxford Bibliographies in Psychology. New York: Oxford University Press. pdf

Gigerenzer, G., Fiedler, K., & Olsson, H. (2012). Rethinking cognitive biases as environmental consequences. In P. M. Todd, G. Gigerenzer, & the ABC Research Group (Eds.), Ecological rationality: Intelligence in the world (pp. 80-110). New York: Oxford University Press. pdf

Olsson, H., & Galesic, M. (2011). History and logic of significance tests. In M. Lovric (Ed.), International encyclopedia of statistical science (pp. 1321-1323). New York: Springer. pdf

Morais, A. S., Olsson, H., & Schooler, L. J. (2010). The semantic network of the individual is a small-world but not inevitably scale-free. Proceedings of KogWis 2010: 10th Biannual Meeting of the German Society for Cognitive Science (pp. 146-147). Potsdam, Germany: Universitätsverlag Potsdam. (Abstract) 

Nilsson, H., & Olsson, H. (2006). An explanation of why inference learners sometimes appear to store prototypical features. In R. Sun & N. Miyake (Eds.), Proceedings of the Twenty-Seventh Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (p. 2569). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. (Abstract)

Karlsson, L., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (2004b). Additive integration in multiple-cue judgment. International Journal of Psychology, 39, 95-95. (Abstract)

Olsson, H. (2000). Thurstonian and Brunswikian origins of error in judgment. International Journal of Psychology, 35, 21-21. (Abstract)

Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (1999). Computational models of subjective probability calibration. In P. Juslin & H. Montgomery (Eds.), Judgment and decision making: Neo-Brunswikian and process tracing approaches (pp. 67-95). New York: Erlbaum.

Olsson, H. (1999). A sampling model of confidence in sensory discrimination. Acta Universitatis Upsaliensis: Comprehensive summaries of Uppsala dissertations from the faculty of social sciences, 87. Uppsala, Sweden: Uppsala University.

Runeson, S., Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (1997). Evidence for the directness of advanced information. In M. A. Schmuckler & J. M. Kennedy (Eds.), Studies in Perception and Action IV (pp. 47-51). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.